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PMA Anticipates Dip During Next Three Months

April report shows softening of shipping levels and income orders

A newly released report from Precision Metalforming Association, or PMA, shows metalforming companies anticipate a dip in business conditions during the next three months.

Some highlights:

  • 37% of participants expect economic activity to improve during the next three months, down from 46% in March.
  • 51% predict that activity will remain unchanged -- compared to 49% last month -- and 12% report that activity will decline, up from 5% in March.
  •  Metalforming companies also anticipate a downward trend in incoming orders during the next three months, with 43% forecasting an increase in orders (compared to 47% in March), 41% expecting no change (down from 47% in March) and 16% predicting a decrease in orders (up from only 6% last month).
  • Average daily shipping levels declined in April. Only 46% of participants report that shipping levels are above levels of three months ago (down from 53% in March), 41% report that shipping levels are the same as three months ago (compared to 37% last month), and 13% report a decrease in shipping levels (up from 10% in March).
  • On the employment front, metalforming companies with a portion of their workforce on short time or layoff increased to 9% in April, from 7% in March. However, this number is lower than April 2011, when metalformers reported 11% of their workforce on short time or layoff.

“The strength of PMA member expectations for the general economy and specifically for shipping levels and incoming orders for the next three months softened somewhat in the April PMA Business Conditions Report,” said William Gaskin, PMA president. “However, expectations thus far in 2012 are significantly higher than expectations in all but the first quarter of 2011. This recovery is consistent with the overall rebound in manufacturing that has been widely reported in the automotive, agriculture, off-highway, medical equipment and other sectors.”

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